Comments for ICBS Everywhere

Comment on Stop Pissing on Nate Silver by Shane Brady

Shane Brady — Fri, 11 Nov 2016 03:28:33 +0000

Seems a lot of people don’t make a distinction between the pollster and the metapollsters. As far as I’m aware, Silver doesn’t do any of his own polling. I’m also curious if the combination of obsessive poll watching and long early voting, worked to suppress turn out if people read, as Grimm wrote “She’s got this”.

Comment on Statistical Interactions by Data Science Interview Questions: A curated list - Springboard Blog

Data Science Interview Questions: A curated list - Springboard Blog — Thu, 27 Oct 2016 05:19:26 +0000

[…] Answer […]

Comment on Sleep BS and Have I mentioned That I Despise Infographics? by Wendy Hughes

Wendy Hughes — Thu, 03 Dec 2015 09:09:12 +0000

Sleep used to seem so easy. It’s less and less so all the time. I was reading this Quora thread today.
https://www.quora.com/Does-sleep-quality-improve-if-you-sleep-alone-vs-sleeping-in-the-same-bed-as-your-significant-other

Comment on Resolving Conflicting Research Results: Vaccine Education is Tricky by Barbara Drescher

Barbara Drescher — Thu, 27 Aug 2015 23:03:00 +0000

I greatly appreciate the link to your data, although I have no real concerns about your findings. As I noted, I think the research was well-design and I have no serious criticisms (which, as anyone who reads the blog will attest, is a huge compliment) of the research itself.

And, yes, this wasn’t meant to be a thorough discussion of method, just a quick overview to show laypersons how the findings of two studies can appear to contradict each other even when neither is badly flawed.

Comment on Resolving Conflicting Research Results: Vaccine Education is Tricky by Zach Horne

Zach Horne — Thu, 27 Aug 2015 02:27:13 +0000

I enjoyed your blog post. I think you raise some important points about how to interpret our results and Nyhan’s results. I do feel that other experimental issues, which are slightly more subtle, were glossed over in this overview. However, I understand that you cannot necessarily get into the nitty-gritty in such a post.

If you have question-level concerns about our findings, I’d encourage you to check out the data here https://osf.io/nx364/

-Zach Horne

Comment on New Research Suggests The Internet Makes Us Overconfident by Robert Bramel

Robert Bramel — Thu, 09 Apr 2015 16:08:50 +0000

This sounds remarkably like the Dunning-Kruger effect. To quote from Wikipedia,

“The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias wherein unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability to be much higher than is accurate. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their ineptitude. Conversely, highly skilled individuals tend to underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others.”

Comment on You Probably Do NOT Have 4 Cones, What Else Is Wrong (or right) About the Goddamn Dress, and Some Fun Illusions by laursaurus

laursaurus — Thu, 26 Mar 2015 00:19:53 +0000

I can see both color schemes.
What makes the colors change for me is if I assume the picture was taken shortly after sunrise or at sunset. Morning looks blue and black. Sunset or evening, looks like white with gold lace.

Comment on A collection of fun things that look like other things by Dan Brain

Dan Brain — Thu, 19 Mar 2015 13:49:32 +0000

I feel that I have an extraordinary gift. It sounds ridiculous but since attending Dali’s art museum in Spain I now see detailed faces and humans in all of life’s creations. In particular clouds mountains and planet earth etc. it’s an excessive form of pareidolia. I have searched the internet and there is no record of this being experienced before.
I do have photographic evidence of what I now see.
I look forward to hearing from you.

Dan

Sent from my iphone

Comment on The Psychology of Vaccine Denial and The New Anti-Intellectualism by C.A. Phil

C.A. Phil — Mon, 16 Mar 2015 08:01:38 +0000

Miguel, you’re part of why mainstream media sites disable or heavily regulate comments. Almost everything you say is wrong or misleading, and you have to be aware that you either barely-read or are deliberately misrepresenting this post.

I see nothing like a “low blow”, “tactless quip”, or “hate” in Drescher’s post, though I see them in your comment. You are either acting dishonestly, or do not understand what these words mean.

Your attempt to pin the Courtier’s Response is inept and mistaken. None of the criticisms above are based on Watson being an expert or scientist. If anyone, including a blogger, makes a claim about something they are not expert on, then they should quote, paraphrase, or summarize an expert, and do so conscientiously. Watson issued claims that require citation/quote/paraphrase without offering any, and in other parts did cite experts, but did so incorrectly, getting the details wrong or presenting them in a misleading way.

You don’t need to be a scientist to honestly summarize research. You need to be an average, honest 8th grader.

Comment on The Psychology of Vaccine Denial and The New Anti-Intellectualism by Barbara Drescher

Barbara Drescher — Sun, 15 Mar 2015 16:12:35 +0000

“You’re just being nit-picky” and “You’re just a hater” are both poor excuses–attempts to deflect criticism instead of address it. “She’s just a blogger raising awareness” is an even sadder excuse. And repeatedly speaking/writing carelessly far beyond her knowledge base is much more than getting “things wrong sometimes”, not that “bloggers sometimes get things wrong” is ever a good excuse. Also, I think you should look up the word “curb”.

I challenge you to find something–anything–personal in my post.

Oh, and please, enlighten me about this point that I supposedly missed.